Health scenarios for an ageing population
The seminar will look at different models for projecting future health scenarios and attempt to identify some key pressure points for health services.
About the Speaker
Kenneth Howse is a Senior Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute of Population Ageing.
He joined the Institute from the Centre for Policy on Ageing, where for several years he worked on a range of issues, including health policy and the place of religion in later life. His interest in ageing issues began in the late 1980s, when he was a Research Fellow with the Institute of Medical Ethics and worked on rationing problems in health care and the ethics of psychiatric research. This background in applied ethics is reflected in his strong interest in the ethical and normative dimension of the policy implications of demographic ageing. He manages the Health and Longevity research stream in the Institute, and his current research focus is ageing in South East Asia where he is leading a study of the role of Older People’s Associations in different countries in the region.
The seminar will look at different models for projecting future health scenarios in the UK and attempt to identify some key pressure points for health and social care services. Although projections models vary a great deal according to the outcome of interest and they all emphasise uncertainty (many known unknowns), they tend to converge on one main conclusion: there is good evidence of improving health in the older population, but the rates of improvement are generally insufficient to offset the increase in demand that seems likely to result from the increasing size of the older population, especially the older-old. Of particular interest in this case are the implications for hospital care as well as social care.
This event is part of a seminar series:
Hilary Term 2019 Seminar Series Ageing Populations: from Cell to Society Seminar Room: 66 Banbury Road, Oxford OX2 6PR Convener: Professor Sarah Harper
17 January 2019 14:00 - 15:30
Oxford Institute of Population Ageing
66 Banbury Road, Oxford, OX2 6PR